To see the future market trend of honeysuckle due to the "epidemic"

To see the future market trend of honeysuckle due to the "epidemic"

Honeysuckle is the dried flower buds or blooming flowers of honeysuckle or other plants of the same genus. It has been known as a good medicine for clearing away heat and detoxification since ancient time. It is sweet, cold, fragrant and clears heat without hurting the stomach. So It is very commonly used in various antiviral prescriptions. As the most sensitive variety due to the epidemic, the market is full of uncertainty.

There have been three high prices in the history of honeysuckle, two of which are cyclical.

The first high price time was due to the SARS in 2003, which was driven by the special needs of the epidemic.

The second time appeared in 2009 to 2011, in addition to catching up with the general trend, there were also a substantial increase in demand, rising prices, and an increase in production cost. The influenza A epidemic was also one of the factors.

The third time appeared in 2018 to 2020. This high price is a process in which the high price in the previous cycle stimulated the production, the price adjusted, then resulted in a shrinking production and price raised again. Of course, in 2020, the COVID-19 epidemic stimulated the demand of honeysuckle.

After 2017, due to the high price, the production scale of each production area once again ushered in an unprecedented development. After three years of growth, honeysuckle seedlings will enter into the full blooming period. That is to say, honeysuckle will usher in a large-scale of production volume from this year. As long as farmers do not neglect management, the output will be maintained for many years. As long as it is not a bad market price, the production is hard to be disrupted in the short term. The important factor to support the honeysuckle market is the cost of picking. With the development of the national economy, the increase in production costs and price levels, and the problem of the aging, the honeysuckle market is prone to the qualitative changes.

The price drop of honeysuckle this year is a step-like process, and there is no cliff-like straight drop, which is mainly due to the impact of the epidemic, the rigidity of demand and the weak inventory. Generally speaking, the trend of the price drop of long-term the honeysuckle will not change, but in short-term the sharp drop or increase of honeysuckle’s price also won’t happen.